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Crown Green Handicap

John Davies

Team: Oxton Cons BDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

762

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

65

Matches Played

26

Wins

39

Losses

40%

Win Rate

5.4

Avg Win Margin

9.1

Avg Loss Margin

14-12

Home Record

12-27

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
42 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/28/2026

A large recent sample: 42 matches in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 33-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player6/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 65 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

21 Jul1 Jun15 Aug28 May9 Jul24 Jun26 May28 Jul-13713

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(35%)
40%
score-0.19→contribution-0.07
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
5.0
score-0.50→contribution-0.12
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.0
score-0.16→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(15%)
918
score-0.28→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score-0.263
Sample Size Confidence
100%(42/33 matches)
Rating895 → shrunk 895→ adjusted 757
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)770
Recency Blend40% (42 recent matches)
Final Rating762
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

26W39L65 matches·40% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Oxton Cons B2023–2026Division B, Division C32141843.8%
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks B2016–2017Division C157846.7%
Oxton Cons2023–2026Division B, Division A103730%
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks2017Division B82625%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/28/2026Gayle Formston-wrightA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision B
7/16/2026Chris Blackburn *A14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
7/14/2026Eddie Thomas *H16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
7/9/2026John MillingtonA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
7/7/2026Terry MilnerH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
6/25/2026Phillip Summers **H21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
6/11/2026Sandra CooperA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
6/9/2026Philip CurrieA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
5/28/2026Eddie Massey **A10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision B
5/26/2026Chris ParkerH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
5/21/2026Joey LewisA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision B
5/19/2026Phillip Summers **H20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
5/14/2026Phil Edge **A21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
5/12/2026Dave EdwardsA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
5/5/2026Clare Brady *A15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
7/24/2025Joanna RussellH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
7/1/2025Mike FinnA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
6/26/2025vs Pensby DH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
6/24/2025Jean ClarkH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
5/15/2025Bernie VollerA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision C
8/19/2024Graham EllisonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision A
8/8/2024Andy DawsonA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
7/25/2024Steve SnowA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision A
7/23/2024Shaun LuckieH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/16/2024James KellyA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/11/2024Bob ThomasA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision C
7/9/2024Fred DohertyH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
7/4/2024Lee NaylorH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision A
7/2/2024Steve BibbyH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
6/25/2024Tony McsorleyA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
6/19/2024vs Bromborough Social ClubA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
6/13/2024George LowdenA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
6/11/2024Keith WhartonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
5/30/2024Les JonesA1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision A
5/28/2024David ChantlerH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision C
5/21/2024Darren MckennyA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
5/14/2024Tony MarslandA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
5/7/2024Colin BensonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision C
8/31/2023Steve JonesA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision A
6/29/2023Doreen JohnsonH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
6/15/2023John HenshallH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
6/13/2023Derek EdwardsA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
8/17/2017Ann ConnellA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
8/15/2017Mike WalshH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
8/10/2017John BurkeA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
8/1/2017Zoe StrattonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision B
7/27/2017Jeff HitchellA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision B
7/25/2017Doug PotterH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
7/11/2017Dave HulmstonA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision B
6/14/2017vs Oxton Cons CA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision C
6/8/2017Dave ChapmanA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
6/1/2017Ray PenkethH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
5/24/2017vs Tixall CA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision B
5/16/2017George GriffithsA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision B
8/25/2016vs Hoylake CentralA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision C
8/17/2016vs Oxton Cons CH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
8/10/2016vs Pensby CA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
8/4/2016Gary DonaldsonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
7/26/2016George JellicoeH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
7/21/2016Trevor DuckersH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision C
7/14/2016Peter CowanH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
7/13/2016vs Oxton Cons CA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision C
7/7/2016Kathryn McaseyA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
5/31/2016Don ChalkleyA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision C
4/26/2016Aaron RichardsH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
Geoff Clare Trophy5 games · 2W
20252 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundPaul ChapmanBromborough Social Club21-16WINWON
Semi Final RoundRonnie AbbotSea Dog18-21LOSSLOST
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundBob ThomasAlbany B21-20WINWON
Quarters RoundMartin HickmanBebington Park17-21LOSSLOST
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundGerda EvansPensby C15-21LOSSLOST
George ONeill Trophy4 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundDave Eaton / Gillian McalenyThingwall5-15LOSSLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundBob Thomas / Pat MclaughlinAlbany B15-10WINLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundAlan Heaton / Jack KileyHeswall Rbl6-15LOSSLOST
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJoe Brett / Fred BeacallAlbany8-15LOSSLOST
Leverhulme Cup2 games · 0W
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundNatasha StrattonArno Tixall20-21LOSSLOST
Round of 16 RoundDaniel JeffriesGladstone11-21LOSSLOST
Andy Dawson Cup1 games · 1W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundDave EdwardsBebington Park21-10WINLOST

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LLLWW
Last 1030% win rate↑ improving
LLLWWWLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Oxton Cons C12333.3%6/14/2017
Phillip Summers **11250%6/25/2026
Gayle Formston-wright0110%7/28/2026
Chris Blackburn *0110%7/16/2026
Eddie Thomas *0110%7/14/2026
John Millington101100%7/9/2026
Terry Milner101100%7/7/2026
Sandra Cooper0110%6/11/2026
Philip Currie0110%6/9/2026
Eddie Massey **0110%5/28/2026
Biggest Win
Mike Walsh (+12)8/15/2017
Heaviest Defeat
Les Jones (-20)5/30/2024
Best Season
201742% · 12 matches
Worst Season
202633% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
38% → 42%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
88747 known · 18 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-820% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
16-2143% win rate

By Division

Division C17-17 (50%)
Division B8-18 (31%)
Division A1-4 (20%)
Division A20%
1W·4L·5 played
Division B30.8%
8W·18L·26 played
Division C50%
17W·17L·34 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2016

Latest

Jul 28, 2026

Seasons Active

6 (10.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

10.8 (65 total)

Seasons

201620172023202420252026